Aston Villa vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Betting Preview

Key Match Insights

Research suggests Aston Villa holds a dominant 70-80% win probability, backed by their strong home form and Maccabi’s winless streak, though the visitors’ defensive setup could lead to a low-scoring affair – evidence indicates under 2.5 goals in 65% of similar matchups.

Controversy and Uncertainty: Controversy around the fan ban and off-field tensions adds layers of uncertainty, potentially affecting focus, yet Aston Villa’s depth provides an edge; Maccabi Tel Aviv’s underdog status might inspire a resilient performance, highlighting the Europa League’s blend of drama and unpredictability.

Recognition for Both Teams: Both teams deserve credit for their efforts – Aston Villa’s European resurgence impresses, while Maccabi Tel Aviv’s grit amid challenges earns respect, creating a contest that values tactical discipline and determination.


Recent Form and Head-to-Head

Aston Villa’s form: L-W-D-W-L in their last five across competitions, with a 2-0 Europa League win over Young Boys but a 2-0 Premier League loss to Tottenham. They’ve scored 10 goals while conceding 8 in 10 league games, sitting mid-table.

Maccabi Tel Aviv: L-L-D-L in UEFA Europa League, winless with just one goal scored, but domestic form shows resilience.

Head-to-head: This is their first meeting, but Aston Villa’s European home strength contrasts Maccabi’s road struggles in the competition.

TeamLast 5 Matches (All Comps)Goals ScoredGoals ConcededClean Sheets
Aston VillaL-W-D-W-L652
Maccabi Tel AvivL-L-D-L-W371

Betting Markets and Odds Breakdown

Odds from top online bookmakers like FanDuel: Aston Villa 8/15 (home), Draw 21/10, Maccabi Tel Aviv 15/2. Value in under 2.5 goals at -120, aligning with Maccabi’s low-scoring games. Europa league betting tips highlight BTTS no at -133.

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Player Stats and Key Performers

Aston Villa’s Ollie Watkins (4 goals, 2.0 shots/game) lead the attack. Maccabi Tel Aviv relies on Dor Peretz (2 goals) and Osher Davida (1 assist).

Injuries:

  • Aston Villa – No major issues reported
  • Maccabi Tel Aviv – Minor doubts, but full squad available
PlayerTeamGoalsAssistsShots per GamePass Accuracy
Ollie WatkinsAston Villa412.082%
Jhon DuranAston Villa301.880%
Dor PeretzMaccabi Tel Aviv211.784%
Osher DavidaMaccabi Tel Aviv111.681%

Tactical Analysis and Predictions

Aston Villa’s 4-2-3-1 emphasizes possession (55%) and high press (PPDA 10), exploiting Maccabi’s transitions (14-second recoveries). Maccabi Tel Aviv’s 4-3-3 focuses on compactness but generates low xG (0.8 per game).

Predicted:

2-0 Aston Villa win, under 2.5 goals 65%. xG: Aston Villa 1.7, Maccabi Tel Aviv 0.7.


Expert Predictions

Expert predictions favor a Villa victory with low goals.

Forebet

“Aston Villa Win (Pred: 2). Correct score: 0-2,” from Forebet, with 65% win chance for Villa.

Windrawwin

Windrawwin forecasts “both teams to not score (BTTS No), under 2.5 goals, and an Aston Villa home win. The forecasted score is 2-0,” based on form.

APWin

APWin experts predict “Aston Villa Win… over 9.5 corners,” noting high corner counts.

SoccerVital

SoccerVital tips “Over 2.5 goals. Score tip: 3-0,” emphasizing Villa’s home dominance.

EaglePredict

EaglePredict asserts “Aston Villa to Win,” with an alternative under 3.5 goals.

Sportskeeda

Sportskeeda predicts “Aston Villa 3-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv,” highlighting Villa’s quality.

Football Whispers

Football Whispers forecasts “Correct score prediction: Aston Villa 2-0 Maccabi Tel-Aviv,” with Villa as big favorites.

Oddspedia

Oddspedia’s model suggests “2 : 0 based on current form and head-to-head data.”

Betting tips: Aston Villa win at 8/15; use mobile betting apps for cash out betting. Best odds guaranteed on bet builder sites for 5/1 multis like Villa win and under 2.5.

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Match Context: European Aspirations

In the 2025/26 UEFA Europa League campaign, Aston Villa’s November 6 fixture against Maccabi Tel Aviv at Villa Park stands as a key opportunity for the hosts to solidify their knockout stage aspirations.

Aston Villa, currently 10th in the Europa League table with a strong home record, enter after a mixed bag: a 2-0 Premier League defeat to Tottenham but a 3-0 Europa League victory over Young Boys.

Sportskeeda Analysis

Experts at Sportskeeda note Villa’s 2-1-0 Europa League record, scoring freely but conceding in patches, averaging 2.0 goals per game. Unai Emery’s side aims to capitalize on Maccabi’s struggles, but off-field tensions, including a fan ban for the visitors due to security concerns, add complexity.


Maccabi Tel Aviv’s Struggles

Maccabi Tel Aviv, 32nd in the table and winless in three Europa League games (0-0-3), limp in after a 2-1 loss to Besiktas and a domestic 1-0 win over Hapoel Tel Aviv.

Football Whispers Insights

Football Whispers analysts highlight Maccabi’s one goal scored in Europe, underscoring offensive woes despite defensive efforts, with a 0.33 PPG in the competition.


Advanced Metrics

Metrics reveal the mismatch: Villa’s 1.7 xG per game overperforms to 2.0 goals, 55% possession, strong at set-pieces (30% goals). Maccabi’s 0.7 xG aligns with 0.33 goals, 45% possession, vulnerable to counters (35% conceded).

Head-to-head: First meeting, but Villa’s European home prowess contrasts Maccabi’s road form.


Player Spotlights

Player spotlights: Villa’s Ollie Watkins (4 goals) and Jhon Duran (3 goals) threaten, with no major injuries. Maccabi’s Dor Peretz (2 goals) and Osher Davida (1 assist) lead, squad fit.


Tactical Breakdown

Tactics: Emery’s 4-2-3-1 presses high (PPDA 10), generating corners (6 per game). Lazetic’s Maccabi 4-3-3 compacts but exposes flanks (35% concessions).


Expert Opinions Convergence

Expert opinions converge on Villa success:

  • Sportskeeda: “Aston Villa 3-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv,” citing Villa’s quality
  • Football Whispers: “Correct score prediction: Aston Villa 2-0 Maccabi Tel-Aviv,” favorites noted
  • Forebet: “Aston Villa Win (Pred: 2). Correct score: 0-2,” 65% chance
  • Windrawwin: “BTTS No, under 2.5 goals, and an Aston Villa home win… forecasted score is 2-0”
  • APWin: “Aston Villa Win… over 9.5 corners”
  • SoccerVital: “Over 2.5 goals. Score tip: 3-0”
  • EaglePredict: “Aston Villa to Win,” under 3.5 alternative
  • Oddspedia: “2 : 0 based on form”

Betting Strategies

FanDuel Bet Builder:

Bet Builder: Villa win, under 2.5, Watkins scorer (5/1)

22Bet Strategy:

22Bet – Villa at -188, BTTS no (-133)

SportsGambler Tip:

SportsGambler – Under 2.5 (-120)

Top online bookmakers offer best odds guaranteed for bet builder sites – Villa win + clean sheet (even).


Diversification and Risk Management

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Betting trends 2025: 65% Villa Europa League games under 2.5, Maccabi aways averaging 2.0 goals. Sports betting statistics: Villa’s 80% home win rate boosts value.

Bankroll Management:

2-4% stake per bet, hedge cashout for roi >8%. Seek value (edge >5%).


Final Analysis

This Europa League matchup pits Villa’s ambition against Maccabi’s resolve – expect low goals (2.0 average), intensity, and Villa advancing in the Europa League table.

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