Aston Villa vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Betting Preview

Key Match Insights
Research suggests Aston Villa holds a dominant 70-80% win probability, backed by their strong home form and Maccabi’s winless streak, though the visitors’ defensive setup could lead to a low-scoring affair – evidence indicates under 2.5 goals in 65% of similar matchups.
Controversy and Uncertainty: Controversy around the fan ban and off-field tensions adds layers of uncertainty, potentially affecting focus, yet Aston Villa’s depth provides an edge; Maccabi Tel Aviv’s underdog status might inspire a resilient performance, highlighting the Europa League’s blend of drama and unpredictability.
Recognition for Both Teams: Both teams deserve credit for their efforts – Aston Villa’s European resurgence impresses, while Maccabi Tel Aviv’s grit amid challenges earns respect, creating a contest that values tactical discipline and determination.
Recent Form and Head-to-Head
Aston Villa’s form: L-W-D-W-L in their last five across competitions, with a 2-0 Europa League win over Young Boys but a 2-0 Premier League loss to Tottenham. They’ve scored 10 goals while conceding 8 in 10 league games, sitting mid-table.
Maccabi Tel Aviv: L-L-D-L in UEFA Europa League, winless with just one goal scored, but domestic form shows resilience.
Head-to-head: This is their first meeting, but Aston Villa’s European home strength contrasts Maccabi’s road struggles in the competition.
| Team | Last 5 Matches (All Comps) | Goals Scored | Goals Conceded | Clean Sheets |
| Aston Villa | L-W-D-W-L | 6 | 5 | 2 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | L-L-D-L-W | 3 | 7 | 1 |
Betting Markets and Odds Breakdown
Odds from top online bookmakers like FanDuel: Aston Villa 8/15 (home), Draw 21/10, Maccabi Tel Aviv 15/2. Value in under 2.5 goals at -120, aligning with Maccabi’s low-scoring games. Europa league betting tips highlight BTTS no at -133.
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Player Stats and Key Performers
Aston Villa’s Ollie Watkins (4 goals, 2.0 shots/game) lead the attack. Maccabi Tel Aviv relies on Dor Peretz (2 goals) and Osher Davida (1 assist).
Injuries:
- Aston Villa – No major issues reported
- Maccabi Tel Aviv – Minor doubts, but full squad available
| Player | Team | Goals | Assists | Shots per Game | Pass Accuracy |
| Ollie Watkins | Aston Villa | 4 | 1 | 2.0 | 82% |
| Jhon Duran | Aston Villa | 3 | 0 | 1.8 | 80% |
| Dor Peretz | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2 | 1 | 1.7 | 84% |
| Osher Davida | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 | 1 | 1.6 | 81% |
Tactical Analysis and Predictions
Aston Villa’s 4-2-3-1 emphasizes possession (55%) and high press (PPDA 10), exploiting Maccabi’s transitions (14-second recoveries). Maccabi Tel Aviv’s 4-3-3 focuses on compactness but generates low xG (0.8 per game).
Predicted:
2-0 Aston Villa win, under 2.5 goals 65%. xG: Aston Villa 1.7, Maccabi Tel Aviv 0.7.
Expert Predictions
Expert predictions favor a Villa victory with low goals.
Forebet
“Aston Villa Win (Pred: 2). Correct score: 0-2,” from Forebet, with 65% win chance for Villa.
Windrawwin
Windrawwin forecasts “both teams to not score (BTTS No), under 2.5 goals, and an Aston Villa home win. The forecasted score is 2-0,” based on form.
APWin
APWin experts predict “Aston Villa Win… over 9.5 corners,” noting high corner counts.
SoccerVital
SoccerVital tips “Over 2.5 goals. Score tip: 3-0,” emphasizing Villa’s home dominance.
EaglePredict
EaglePredict asserts “Aston Villa to Win,” with an alternative under 3.5 goals.
Sportskeeda
Sportskeeda predicts “Aston Villa 3-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv,” highlighting Villa’s quality.
Football Whispers
Football Whispers forecasts “Correct score prediction: Aston Villa 2-0 Maccabi Tel-Aviv,” with Villa as big favorites.
Oddspedia
Oddspedia’s model suggests “2 : 0 based on current form and head-to-head data.”
Betting tips: Aston Villa win at 8/15; use mobile betting apps for cash out betting. Best odds guaranteed on bet builder sites for 5/1 multis like Villa win and under 2.5.
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Match Context: European Aspirations
In the 2025/26 UEFA Europa League campaign, Aston Villa’s November 6 fixture against Maccabi Tel Aviv at Villa Park stands as a key opportunity for the hosts to solidify their knockout stage aspirations.
Aston Villa, currently 10th in the Europa League table with a strong home record, enter after a mixed bag: a 2-0 Premier League defeat to Tottenham but a 3-0 Europa League victory over Young Boys.
Sportskeeda Analysis
Experts at Sportskeeda note Villa’s 2-1-0 Europa League record, scoring freely but conceding in patches, averaging 2.0 goals per game. Unai Emery’s side aims to capitalize on Maccabi’s struggles, but off-field tensions, including a fan ban for the visitors due to security concerns, add complexity.
Maccabi Tel Aviv’s Struggles
Maccabi Tel Aviv, 32nd in the table and winless in three Europa League games (0-0-3), limp in after a 2-1 loss to Besiktas and a domestic 1-0 win over Hapoel Tel Aviv.
Football Whispers Insights
Football Whispers analysts highlight Maccabi’s one goal scored in Europe, underscoring offensive woes despite defensive efforts, with a 0.33 PPG in the competition.
Advanced Metrics
Metrics reveal the mismatch: Villa’s 1.7 xG per game overperforms to 2.0 goals, 55% possession, strong at set-pieces (30% goals). Maccabi’s 0.7 xG aligns with 0.33 goals, 45% possession, vulnerable to counters (35% conceded).
Head-to-head: First meeting, but Villa’s European home prowess contrasts Maccabi’s road form.
Player Spotlights
Player spotlights: Villa’s Ollie Watkins (4 goals) and Jhon Duran (3 goals) threaten, with no major injuries. Maccabi’s Dor Peretz (2 goals) and Osher Davida (1 assist) lead, squad fit.
Tactical Breakdown
Tactics: Emery’s 4-2-3-1 presses high (PPDA 10), generating corners (6 per game). Lazetic’s Maccabi 4-3-3 compacts but exposes flanks (35% concessions).
Expert Opinions Convergence
Expert opinions converge on Villa success:
- Sportskeeda: “Aston Villa 3-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv,” citing Villa’s quality
- Football Whispers: “Correct score prediction: Aston Villa 2-0 Maccabi Tel-Aviv,” favorites noted
- Forebet: “Aston Villa Win (Pred: 2). Correct score: 0-2,” 65% chance
- Windrawwin: “BTTS No, under 2.5 goals, and an Aston Villa home win… forecasted score is 2-0”
- APWin: “Aston Villa Win… over 9.5 corners”
- SoccerVital: “Over 2.5 goals. Score tip: 3-0”
- EaglePredict: “Aston Villa to Win,” under 3.5 alternative
- Oddspedia: “2 : 0 based on form”
Betting Strategies
FanDuel Bet Builder:
Bet Builder: Villa win, under 2.5, Watkins scorer (5/1)
22Bet Strategy:
22Bet – Villa at -188, BTTS no (-133)
SportsGambler Tip:
SportsGambler – Under 2.5 (-120)
Top online bookmakers offer best odds guaranteed for bet builder sites – Villa win + clean sheet (even).
Diversification and Risk Management
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Betting trends 2025: 65% Villa Europa League games under 2.5, Maccabi aways averaging 2.0 goals. Sports betting statistics: Villa’s 80% home win rate boosts value.
Bankroll Management:
2-4% stake per bet, hedge cashout for roi >8%. Seek value (edge >5%).
Final Analysis
This Europa League matchup pits Villa’s ambition against Maccabi’s resolve – expect low goals (2.0 average), intensity, and Villa advancing in the Europa League table.